Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.416089 0.480179 0.549917 0.631316 0.723587 0.824804 0.944112
2025-09-14 0.297813 0.382837 0.484551 0.614618 0.775883 0.968577 1.215519
2025-09-21 0.230877 0.321840 0.438611 0.598271 0.809472 1.077681 1.442214
2025-09-28 0.186978 0.278998 0.404277 0.585292 0.837718 1.174407 1.654004
2025-10-05 0.163242 0.258257 0.394276 0.600207 0.900371 1.317399 1.934874
2025-10-12 0.148783 0.247912 0.396241 0.630174 0.984489 1.494338 2.274645
2025-10-19 0.133487 0.233573 0.389684 0.645435 1.046780 1.643221 2.584049
2025-10-26 0.118836 0.217863 0.378529 0.651349 1.093930 1.771671 2.871037
2025-11-02 0.105198 0.201718 0.364341 0.650071 1.128382 1.881780 3.136251
2025-11-09 0.092266 0.184864 0.346714 0.640631 1.147725 1.968276 3.368985
2025-11-16 0.081193 0.169749 0.330117 0.630704 1.164439 2.050447 3.598826
2025-11-23 0.070134 0.153041 0.308601 0.609506 1.159237 2.095045 3.768544
2025-11-30 0.067055 0.151820 0.315782 0.641581 1.251351 2.311661 4.244906
2025-12-07 0.058411 0.138047 0.297612 0.624643 1.253901 2.374943 4.464410
2025-12-14 0.050995 0.125718 0.280697 0.608052 1.255056 2.434958 4.681104
2025-12-21 0.044900 0.115337 0.266397 0.594880 1.261018 2.503195 4.915876
2025-12-28 0.042034 0.111901 0.266136 0.610018 1.322910 2.677791 5.354697
2026-01-04 0.040655 0.111784 0.272949 0.640431 1.417373 2.919169 5.931625
2026-01-11 0.038212 0.108697 0.272824 0.655918 1.482585 3.108732 6.422034
2026-01-18 0.035323 0.104044 0.268591 0.661920 1.528426 3.263355 6.854400
2026-01-25 0.032255 0.098438 0.261461 0.660623 1.558473 3.388289 7.235763
2026-02-01 0.029014 0.091850 0.251191 0.651043 1.569704 3.475876 7.548149
2026-02-08 0.026095 0.085675 0.241176 0.640969 1.578810 3.559310 7.856559